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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.3% - 8.3% | 8.8% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 0.4x - 0.5x | 0.5x |
Fair Value | NT$ 16.03 - NT$ 18.08 | NT$ 17.03 |
Upside | 0.8% - 13.7% | 7.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(TWD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 3,707 | 3,707 | 3,707 | 3,707 | 3,707 | 3,707 |
% Growth | -0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 67 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 75 |
% of Revenue | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(TWD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 75 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 75 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (21) | (21) | (21) | (21) | (21) | |
EBIT | 54 | 54 | 54 | 54 | 54 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (10) | (10) | (10) | (10) | (10) | |
NOPAT | 36 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 |
Capital Expenditures | (24) | (33) | (35) | (35) | (35) | (35) |
NWC Investment | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Free Cash Flow | 37 | 32 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
% Growth | -15% | -8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |