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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 0.9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Fair Value | ﷼59.29 - ﷼68.21 | ﷼63.75 |
| Upside | 37.9% - 58.6% | 48.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Jabal Omar Development Company | 4250 | SASE:4250 |
| Emaar The Economic City | 4220 | SASE:4220 |
| Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company | 4300 | SASE:4300 |
| Knowledge Economic City Company | 4310 | SASE:4310 |
| Retal Urban Development Company | 4322 | SASE:4322 |
| Red Sea International Company | 4230 | SASE:4230 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 4250 | 4220 | 4300 | 4310 | 4322 | 4230 | |||
| SASE:4250 | SASE:4220 | SASE:4300 | SASE:4310 | SASE:4322 | SASE:4230 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 16.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 35.2% | 15.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 83.0% | 23.5% | 14.7% | 55.2% | 23.9% | 37.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 43.3% | -67.4% | 38.9% | 137.5% | 50.9% | 558.3% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -212.9% | -125.1% | 28.7% | -65.1% | 18.0% | -19.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 22.9% | -204.6% | 32.0% | -63.8% | 17.9% | -46.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 20.6% | 10.2% | 35.5% | -9.9% | 16.4% | 4.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.6% | -212.2% | 35.5% | -9.9% | 16.4% | 4.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 22.08x | 36.18x | 6.65x | 38.14x | 4.49x | 0.66x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 107.3x | -17.1x | 18.8x | -386.1x | 27.3x | 14.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 16.17x | 21.71x | 6.15x | 30.55x | 4.23x | 0.41x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 4.49x | 22.08x | 38.14x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.82x | 2.08x | 2.90x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.86x | 0.91x | 0.95x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 3,151 | 3,151 | 3,151 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,715 | 2,858 | 3,001 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (768) | (768) | (768) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,947 | 2,090 | 2,233 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 30.2 | 30.2 | 30.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 64.40 | 69.12 | 73.85 | |||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 64.40 | 69.12 | 73.85 | 43.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 49.8% | 60.7% | 71.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4250 | 4220 | 4300 | 4310 | 4322 | 4230 | |
| Enterprise Value | 41,845 | 12,526 | 25,016 | 5,964 | 9,270 | 2,068 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 864 | 207 | 6,725 | 87 | 918 | 214 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 141 | 2,763 | 2,819 | 0 | 329 | 6 | |
| (-) Debt | (12,109) | (7,981) | (11,442) | (1,200) | (1,772) | (515) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2) | 0 | (6) | 0 | (9) | (474) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 30,740 | 7,514 | 23,112 | 4,852 | 8,737 | 1,300 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,180.0 | 523.3 | 1,080.0 | 339.3 | 499.2 | 30.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 26.05 | 14.36 | 21.40 | 14.30 | 17.50 | 43.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 26.05 | 14.36 | 21.40 | 14.30 | 17.50 | 43.00 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |