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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Fair Value | $5.49 - $6.07 | $5.78 |
| Upside | -4.1% - 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Fossil Group, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:FOSL |
| Under Armour, Inc. | - | NYSE:UAA |
| Vera Bradley, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:VRA |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation | - | NYSE:DECK |
| Kontoor Brands, Inc. | - | NYSE:KTB |
| Hanesbrands Inc. | - | NYSE:HBI |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| FOSL | UAA | VRA | DECK | KTB | HBI | |||
| NasdaqGS:FOSL | NYSE:UAA | NasdaqGS:VRA | NYSE:DECK | NYSE:KTB | NYSE:HBI | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -12.4% | 1.6% | -5.6% | 16.2% | 0.5% | -11.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -15.1% | 0.1% | -11.7% | 19.0% | 1.7% | -19.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -18.9% | -7.8% | -21.0% | 19.5% | 0.0% | -3.6% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -4.9% | 2.9% | -2.4% | 15.4% | 7.3% | -1.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -11.1% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 0.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -9.0% | 4.1% | -16.7% | 17.7% | 9.4% | -2.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -9.0% | -2.4% | -16.7% | 19.1% | 9.4% | -2.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -13.3x | 8.7x | -6.1x | 12.4x | 9.5x | 8.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.1x | 0.5x | 0.2x | 3.5x | 1.4x | 0.6x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -0.6x | -21.0x | -1.0x | 18.3x | 14.6x | -20.6x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.5x | 3.5x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.6x | 0.9x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.6x | 0.6x | 0.6x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 3,507 | 3,507 | 3,507 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,995 | 2,100 | 2,205 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 353.1 | 353.1 | 353.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.65 | 5.95 | 6.24 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.65 | 5.95 | 6.24 | 5.73 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -1.4% | 3.8% | 9.0% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FOSL | UAA | VRA | DECK | KTB | HBI | |
| Value of Common Equity | 65 | 2,730 | 62 | 17,204 | 3,580 | 2,023 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 53.3 | 429.9 | 27.7 | 151.8 | 55.3 | 353.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.22 | 6.35 | 2.25 | 113.35 | 64.71 | 5.73 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.22 | 6.35 | 2.25 | 113.35 | 64.71 | 5.73 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |