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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 4.5x - 5.0x | 4.8x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3.4x - 3.7x | 3.6x |
Fair Value | $7.76 - $8.83 | $8.29 |
Upside | 3.5% - 17.7% | 10.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. | NTLA | NasdaqGM:NTLA |
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. | BMRN | NasdaqGS:BMRN |
Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | IONS | NasdaqGS:IONS |
KalVista Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | KALV | NasdaqGM:KALV |
CSL Limited | CMXH.F | OTCPK:CMXH.F |
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | BCRX | NasdaqGS:BCRX |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
NTLA | BMRN | IONS | KALV | CMXH.F | BCRX | |||
NasdaqGM:NTLA | NasdaqGS:BMRN | NasdaqGS:IONS | NasdaqGM:KALV | OTCPK:CMXH.F | NasdaqGS:BCRX | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.1% | 10.9% | -8.9% | NM- | 11.6% | 56.0% | ||
3Y CAGR | 20.5% | 15.6% | -4.5% | NM- | 12.8% | 42.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 59.6% | 18.0% | -10.5% | NM | 7.4% | 36.0% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -759.8% | 2.2% | -29.9% | -747.3% | 28.1% | -158.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -1420.5% | 7.7% | -42.4% | NA | 25.7% | -29.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -923.1% | 20.0% | -67.4% | NA | 26.3% | -0.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -923.1% | 20.0% | -67.4% | NA | 26.3% | -0.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | -3.50x | 4.36x | 6.31x | NA | 5.76x | 4.63x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 0.4x | 21.8x | -9.4x | -1.8x | 21.9x | -1632.3x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 12.72x | 4.73x | 6.80x | NA | 4.94x | 3.48x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | -3.50x | 5.06x | 6.31x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 4.63x | 10.21x | 23.41x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 4.52x | 4.76x | 5.00x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 451 | 451 | 451 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,038 | 2,145 | 2,253 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (500) | (500) | (500) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,538 | 1,645 | 1,752 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 209.0 | 209.0 | 209.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 7.36 | 7.87 | 8.39 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.36 | 7.87 | 8.39 | 7.50 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -1.9% | 5.0% | 11.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NTLA | BMRN | IONS | KALV | CMXH.F | BCRX | |
Enterprise Value | 58 | 12,454 | 4,411 | 326 | 87,648 | 2,067 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 602 | 1,138 | 2,303 | 253 | 1,524 | 321 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 287 | 528 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 20 | |
(-) Debt | (210) | (634) | (1,959) | (6) | (11,964) | (841) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (1,987) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 736 | 13,486 | 4,796 | 574 | 75,221 | 1,567 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 103.5 | 190.8 | 159.0 | 49.7 | 484.2 | 209.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.11 | 70.69 | 30.17 | 11.54 | 155.35 | 7.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.11 | 70.69 | 30.17 | 11.54 | 155.35 | 7.50 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |