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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 6.3% - 6.8% | 6.5% |
Discount Rate | 14.0% - 13.0% | 13.5% |
Fair Value | Mex$ 532.32 - Mex$ 647.84 | Mex$ 583.90 |
Upside | -12.7% - 6.2% | -4.3% |
Project Adjusted Dividends | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | ||||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
Net Income to Common | 978 | 1,540 | 1,591 | 1,666 | 1,930 | 2,082 | 2,082 | |
% Growth | -12.9% | 57.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 15.8% | 7.9% | ||
Payout Ratio | 99.2% | 90.0% | 90.0% | 90.0% | 90.0% | 90.0% | 92.5% | |
Projected Dividends | 970 | 1,386 | 1,432 | 1,499 | 1,737 | 1,873 | 1,925 | |
% Growth | 42.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 15.8% | 7.9% |
Historical Performance | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | YTD | YTD | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | |
Cash Dividends Paid | 845 | 849 | 891 | 906 | 970 | 906 | 970 | |
% Growth | 0% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 7% | |||
Net Income to Common | 1,003 | 1,239 | 406 | 1,123 | 978 | 1,123 | 978 | |
% Growth | 24% | -67% | 177% | -13% | -13% | |||
Payout Ratio | 84% | 69% | 219% | 81% | 99% | 81% | 99% | |
Retention Ratio | 16% | 31% | -119% | 19% | 1% | 19% | 1% | |
Adjusted EBITDA | 2,937 | 4,272 | 3,970 | 3,639 | 4,153 | 3,639 | 4,153 | |
% Growth | 45% | -7% | -8% | 14% | 14% | |||
Total Debt | 24,782 | 24,164 | 21,949 | 25,136 | 24,266 | 25,136 | 24,266 | |
Shareholder's Equity | 7,237 | 8,675 | 10,166 | 10,437 | 12,455 | 10,437 | 12,455 | |
Debt / EBITDA | 8.4 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 5.8 | 5.2 | ||
Debt / Equity | 342% | 279% | 216% | 241% | 195% | 241% | 195% | |
3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth | 4.6% | |||||||
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio | 84.2% |