Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

UPDATE 1-BoE keeps rates at 0.5 pct, makes no change to QE

Published 12/09/2010, 08:11 AM
Updated 12/09/2010, 08:16 AM

* BoE keeps rates at 0.5 pct, leaves QE total at 200 bln stg

* Decision widely expected as economy steady in past month

* BoE must assess spending cuts, euro zone turmoil in 2011

(Adds details, background)

By David Milliken

LONDON, Dec 9 (Reuters) - The Bank of England voted to make no change to its monetary policy this month, in a widely expected decision as it waits to see how much growth next year suffers from UK public spending cuts and euro zone turmoil.

None of the more than 60 economists polled by Reuters last week expected the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee to change the 0.5 percent interest rate and 200 billion pounds ($317 billion) of quantitative easing that have been in place since February.

Financial markets did not move after the decision.

"The economic news over the past month has been consistent with policy on hold," said George Buckley, chief UK economist at Deutsche Bank.

Despite a debt bailout for neighbouring Ireland, the economic outlook for Britain has changed little since November's MPC meeting and consumer price inflation has risen further above its 2 percent target to 3.2 percent.

Manufacturing activity has been strong following robust overall economic growth of 0.8 percent in the third quarter, though trade data on Thursday was unexpectedly weak, casting doubt on the BoE's hopes of an export-led recovery next year.

The central bank will not publish details of the MPC's vote or discussion until Dec. 22, but most economists expect a repeat of last month's three-way policy split.

MPC member Andrew Sentance said since November's meeting that he still saw a need to raise interest rates, while his dovish counterpart Adam Posen reiterated his call for an extra 50 billion pounds of asset-buying with new money.

"If anything the recent data flow has tended to favour Sentance's position with the economy experiencing the strongest six-month period of GDP growth for 10 years," said James Knightley, UK economist at ING.

"However, the ongoing threat from fiscal austerity, tight credit conditions, falling house prices and the euro zone sovereign debt woes will continue to provide downside risks," he added.

Most economists do not expect rates to rise until late 2011, and only see more printing of new money if looming government spending cuts cause a bigger-than-expected economic slowdown next year.

The BoE forecast last month that it would take until early 2012 for inflation to return to target, in part because value-added tax on most goods and services will rise by 2.5 percentage points in January.

This tax rise is part of a four-year plan of fiscal tightening to tackle Britain's swollen post-financial crisis budget deficit, which will involve the deepest public spending cuts in decades.

The government and BoE predict that overseas demand will be able to take the place of domestic consumption, but even deeper fiscal retrenchment in major British export markets such as Ireland will make this a challenge. (Additional reporting by Fiona Shaikh and Kate Holton, editing by Ron Askew)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.