🔺 What to do when markets are at an all-time high? Find smart bargains, like these.See Undervalued Stocks

UPDATE 2-Euro zone growth slows more than forecast -PMIs

Published 09/23/2010, 06:50 AM

* Sept service sector grows at slowest pace since Feb

* Manufacturing sector expands at slowest since January

* Data suggests fewer workers hired

* Service sector sees better times 1 year from now

(Adds details)

By Jonathan Cable

LONDON, Sept 23 (Reuters) - Growth rates in the euro zone's services and manufacturing sectors slowed more than forecast this month as firms hired fewer new workers, surveys showed, offering fresh signs the region's economy recovery is losing momentum.

Markit said on Thursday its flash purchasing managers' index (PMI) data for September pointed to economic growth of 0.6 percent in the third quarter, down from the 1.0 percent pace in April-June that surprised markets when reported last month.

The Eurozone Flash Services PMI, compiled from surveys of around 2,000 businesses ranging from banks to restaurants, fell to 53.6 in September from 55.9 in August, its lowest reading since February.

The index, which has been above the 50.0 mark that divides growth in business activity from contraction for just over a year, came in well below the consensus forecast in a Reuters poll for 55.5, giving a boost to safe-haven German government bond prices.

But the service sector's business expectations index -- which gives an indication of how firms think the situation will be in a year's time -- rose to 68.1 this month from August's 67.1, its highest reading since April.

Economists were debating how worrisome the decline in the September figures was for the overall health of the 16-nation bloc of countries that use the euro.

The fall was driven by a slowdown in Germany even as French growth bucked the trend by holding strong.

"September's plunge in the euro zone PMI provides the strongest signs yet that the euro zone recovery is rapidly losing momentum," said Ben May at Capital Economics, who thought the figures pointed to a slower 0.4 percent growth pace in the third quarter.

Growth in the manufacturing sector, which drove a large part of the economy's revival in the third quarter of last year, eased to its slowest since January. The manufacturing PMI fell to 53.6 from 55.1, missing forecasts for 54.5.

The composite PMI, made up from the services and manufacturing sectors and often used to predict overall growth, sank to 53.8 this month from 56.2 in August, well short of expectations for 55.7.

Earlier data from Germany showed its pace of growth slowed much faster than expected. In neighbouring France the service sector also grew slightly more slowly than expected but manufacturing surprised markets by growing at a faster pace than had been predicted.

Figures released on Thursday by the national statistics institute INSEE showed morale in French industry picked up slightly in September as foreign orders improved, inventories rose and the general business outlook brightened. [ID:nLDE68M0CW] ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ For a graphic of euro zone, German and French flash PMIs, see: http://r.reuters.com/xyt94p For an Reuters Insider programme: ECONOMY: Euro Zone Economic Growth Seen Slowing in September http://link.reuters.com/zeb94p ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

NEW ORDERS SLOWING

The euro zone manufacturers' new orders index slumped from 55.3 in August to 52.8 in September, its lowest in a year, reflecting a slowdown in global trade in recent months. The service sector's new business index fell by a similar margin.

"New orders have fallen very sharply and in particular when you look at export orders, which are also moving down to the 50 level, the forward-looking elements of the survey are on the weaker side," said Ben Matthews at RBS.

Official data on Wednesday showed industrial new orders fell more than twice as much as expected month-on-month in July, pulled down by a slump in demand for capital and durable consumer goods. [ID:nBRLMKE66E]

The euro has also made steady gains against the dollar as fears about a slowdown in United States weigh on the greenback, making the bloc's exports more expensive.

Thursday's bullish service sector's business expectations index offered a sharp contrast to Germany's ZEW economic think tank's monthly poll which showed economic sentiment fell much more than forecast in September, suggesting the recovery in Europe's largest economy will lose momentum. [ID:nDEP003349]

Worryingly for policymakers, the composite employment index, which dropped to 51.3 this month from 51.7, suggests that firms took on fewer workers than they did in August.

Unemployment held at 10 percent of the workforce for the fifth month running in July, near a 12-year high, and undermining household demand. [ID:nLDE67U10E]

The euro zone escaped from its deepest recession in post-war history in the third quarter of last year but economists in a Reuters poll expect economic growth to slow to a crawl over coming quarters as austerity packages begin to bite, though the chances of the bloc slipping back into recession remain slim. [ECILT/EU]

Median forecasts from the poll of around 70 economists predict the 16-nation bloc will grow by 0.2 to 0.4 percent each quarter through to the end of next year.

(For economists' views see [ID:nLDE68L0QP])

(For foreign exchange reaction click on [FRX/] and [USD/])

(For bond market reaction click on [GVD/EUR])

(For a guide to all PMI indices )

(Editing by Ruth Pitchford, John Stonestreet)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.