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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, dollar edge higher ahead of Fed meeting

Published 08/09/2010, 10:45 AM
Updated 08/09/2010, 10:48 AM
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* Stocks edge higher in anticipation of Fed's meeting

* Dollar firmer before Fed meeting, tone stays defensive

* Oil rises above $81 as earlier weak dollar supports

* Bonds ease ahead of planned $74 bln auction this week (Updates with U.S. market, changes byline, dateline from previous LONDON)

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Aug 9 (Reuters) - Global stocks and the dollar edged higher on Monday on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will signal this week it is prepared to print more money to prop up an anemic U.S. economy.

Weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data in July, released last Friday, fanned speculation the Fed may soon buy U.S. debt to support an economy that is showing signs of falling back into recession and to fight potential deflation.

The dollar edged higher against major currencies as investors were reluctant to place big bets ahead of a Fed policy-setting meeting on Tuesday. For details see: [ID:nN09258426]

Trading was limited as market participants refrained from chasing prices aggressively, with many traders already pricing in some form of modest easing.

"The weak non-farm payrolls data before a Fed meeting is giving further confidence to the bond market's belief that the Fed will play to its dual mandate of both caretaker of the job market and advocate for price stability," said George Goncalves, head of U.S. rates strategy at Nomura Securities in New York.

U.S. stocks gained, but the Dow was weighed by shares of Hewlett-Packard Co , off 8.2 percent. The company said its chief executive quit after an investigation found he falsified expense reports to conceal a "close personal relationship" with a female contractor.

"Today's trade is all about anticipation of tomorrow. The main question is will the Fed throw another quantitative easing bombshell, and according to that, people are either buying or waiting on the sidelines," said John Canally, economist at LPL Financial in Boston.

MSCI's all-country world index <.MIWD00000PUS> rose 0.3 percent.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was up 23.31 points, or 0.22 percent, at 10,676.87. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was up 1.82 points, or 0.16 percent, at 1,123.46. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> was up 6.75 points, or 0.29 percent, at 2,295.22.

Stocks in Europe and Asia rose as investors grabbed riskier assets on expectations the Fed may inject extra stimulus to maintain a recovery. [ID:nLDE67811F]

European stocks advanced 1.2 percent after data showed German exports should approach record levels next year after beating forecasts in June, another sign that foreign demand is driving a stronger-than-expected recovery in Europe's largest economy.

Exports rose 3.8 percent, the Federal Statistics Office said, and analysts said the figure underpinned expectations that gross domestic product data due this week would show growth accelerated in the second quarter. [ID:nLDE6780N0]

Treasuries were having a hard time attracting any safe-haven buying on Monday however, with benchmark yields hovering near 15-month lows.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was down 2/32 in price to yield 2.83 percent.

Oil climbed above $81 a barrel, extending last week's 2 percent rise on earlier weakness in the dollar and tensions between the West and Iran. [ID:nSGE6780AX]

U.S. light sweet crude oil rose 48 cents to $81.18 a barrel.

Gold rose as uncertainty hit the market ahead of the U.S. Fed meeting. Spot gold prices rose 10 cents to $1,204.40 an ounce. [ID:nLDE6780QH]

The MSCI index of Asia Pacific ex-Japan equities rose 0.8 percent <.MIAPJ0000PUS> to its highest since May 4. Japan's Nikkei share average <.N225> fell 0.7 percent, however, due to the negative impact of a stronger yen on exporters. (To read Reuters Global Investing Blog click on http://blogs.reuters.com/globalinvesting; for the MacroScope Blog click on http://blogs.reuters.com/macroscope; for Hedge Fund Blog click on http://blogs.reuters.com/hedgehub) (Reporting by Angela Moon, Wanfeng Zhou and Chris Reese in New York; David Sheppard and Atul Prakash in London; writing by Herbert Lash; editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)

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