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Earnings call: J.M. Smucker forecasts growth with Hostess acquisition

Published 12/08/2023, 08:11 AM
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SJM
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In a recent Fiscal 2024 Second Quarter Earnings call, The J.M. Smucker Company (NYSE: SJM) provided an optimistic outlook for its fiscal year, projecting a 4% top-line growth. The anticipated growth includes a notable contribution from the recently acquired Hostess brand, expected to generate approximately $650 million in sales. The company's gross margin is forecasted at 37.5% for the full year, with a stronger performance expected in the fourth quarter. Smucker also highlighted a strategic focus on expanding its liquid coffee offerings and the positive impact of the Hostess acquisition on earnings for fiscal year 2025.

Key Takeaways

- J.M. Smucker anticipates a 4% top-line growth for fiscal '24.

- Hostess sales are projected at around $650 million for the fiscal year.

- Full-year gross margin expected to be 37.5%, with a stronger fourth quarter.

- The Hostess acquisition is forecasted to contribute $150 million in profit.

- Investments in liquid coffee are expected to contribute modestly in the near to medium term.

- Earnings per share (EPS) for the base business are expected to increase in the next fiscal year.

Company Outlook

J.M. Smucker's leadership expressed confidence in the growth potential of the Hostess business, anticipating a considerable profit contribution of about $150 million for the fiscal year. The company plans to reinvest in the Hostess brand to support further growth and development. Additionally, Smucker's updated guidance reflects better-than-expected results in the second quarter and the expectation of a stronger back half of the year.

Bearish Highlights

The company noted that the termination of a packaging supplier agreement in their coffee business affected margins, which would have been around 30% otherwise. They also expect a softer third quarter in terms of gross margin.

Bullish Highlights

Smucker is bullish about the acquisition of Hostess, expecting it to be accretive to earnings in fiscal year 2025. The company also plans to amplify its marketing efforts, building on the success of recent campaigns such as the Uncrustables advertisement during Monday Night Football.

Misses

The company acknowledged the impact of an acquisition on their balance sheet, specifically a $0.05 step-up in inventory. However, this was offset by the positive results delivered in the second quarter.

QA Highlights

During the Q&A session, the company addressed competition dynamics and the impact of seasonal periods and transitory dynamics on Hostess sales. They also discussed the leadership transition within the coffee division and reaffirmed their commitment to expanding the liquid coffee segment.

J.M. Smucker's leadership ended the call by expressing gratitude towards their employees for their dedication and reaffirmed their commitment to creating value for shareholders. With a strategic focus on key segments and the integration of Hostess, the company looks poised for continued growth in the coming fiscal years.

InvestingPro Insights

The J.M. Smucker Company (NYSE: SJM) has demonstrated resilience and strategic acumen in its recent fiscal quarter results, with the acquisition of Hostess playing a significant role in its growth narrative. Here are some insights from InvestingPro to consider:

InvestingPro Data highlights a market capitalization of $12.85 billion, suggesting a robust presence in the market. The revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 stands at a modest 0.32%, reflecting the company's steady performance despite market challenges. Moreover, the dividend yield as of the end of November 2023 is at an attractive 3.5%, which is a testament to the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that management's confidence is echoed in their actions, with aggressive share buybacks indicating a bullish stance on the company's valuation. Additionally, SJM has a commendable track record of raising its dividend for 14 consecutive years, which aligns with the company's forecasted gross margin strength and its strategic investments that are expected to bear fruit in the forthcoming periods.

For those looking to delve deeper into the company's prospects, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive suite of additional tips, with a total of 13 tips available that could provide further clarity on SJM's financial health and market position.

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This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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