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Forex - EUR/USD weekly outlook: August 23-27

Published 08/22/2010, 11:03 AM
EUR/USD
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Investing.com – Last week saw the euro plunge to a 5-week low against the U.S. dollar on Friday, after a high ranking European Central Bank official indicated that the bank will keep emergency lending measures in place into 2011.

EUR/USD hit 1.2664 on Friday, the pair's lowest since July 13; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.2708 by close of trade on Friday, shedding 0.43% over the week.

The pair was likely to find support at 1.2522, the low of July 13, and resistance at 1.2902, last Thursday’s high.

On Friday, the president of Germany's central bank Alex Weber said that said that the ECB would be "wise" not to change the bank's policy of providing unlimited liquidity to euro zone banks before early 2011.

The bank had been expected to discuss steps to begin phasing out short-term emergency lending measures at its next meeting in September.

The dollar was also boosted by growing risk aversion after official data released Thursday showed that U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly spiked to their highest level in 9 months, while separate data showed that the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index tumbled unexpectedly in August.

Next week in the U.S., attention will turn to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who is set to deliver a speech on U.S. economic outlook, while official data is due on GDP, initial unemployment claims, manufacturing production and home sales.

Meanwhile, in the euro zone a research group is to release a key report on Germany's business climate. France and Germany are to release important data on their manufacturing and service sectors.

Germany is also to release data on inflation, consumer climate and GDP, while the wider euro zone is to release data on manufacturing and service sector growth.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect EUR/USD.

Monday, August 23

In the U.S., President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas, Thomas Hoenig is expected to speak.

Meanwhile, France and Germany are to release key data on manufacturing activity. The wider euro zone is to publish data on manufacturing activity, as well as data on consumer confidence, a leading indicator of consumer spending.

Tuesday, August 24

The U.S. is to produce key data on manufacturing activity. The country is also to produce data on existing home sales, a leading indicator of health in the housing market.

Meanwhile, in the euro zone, Germany is set to produce key data on GDP, the leading indicator of economic growth. The region is also set to release data on manufacturing activity.

Wednesday, August 25

The U.S. is to produce key data on durable goods orders, a leading indicator of production, as well as data on new home sales. The country is also to produce a report on crude oil inventories.

In the euro zone, the Ifo research group is due to release key data on Germany's business climate.

Thursday, August 26

The U.S. is to release key weekly data on initial jobless claims, a leading indicator of economic health.

Meanwhile, in the euro zone, Germany is to produce information on consumer climate, a leading indicator of consumer spending. The European Central Bank is also due to release data on the region’s money supply and private sector lending.

Friday, August 27

In the U.S. the President of the U.S. Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke is set to give a speech on the economic outlook for the U.S. Meanwhile, the country is to release key data on GDP, the leading indicator of economic growth.

Also Friday, the U.S. is to release data on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations.

In Europe, Germany is to produce key data on inflation and import prices. Meanwhile, Switzerland the KOF research group is to publish an index of leading economic indicators designed to predict the direction of the economy over the following six months.


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