Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

REFILE-FOREX-Euro falls on Greece concern; Bernanke lifts dollar

Published 02/10/2010, 02:31 PM
EUR/GBP
-

(Refiles to fix spelling of Shankar in fourth paragraph.)

* Uncertainty on fiscal assistance plan for Greece

* Markets unconvinced a bailout would solve Greek problems

* Bernanke outlines measures to withdraw stimulus, dlr up (Adds comments, updates prices, changes byline)

By Wanfeng Zhou

NEW YORK, Feb 10 (Reuters) - The euro fell against the dollar on Wednesday, weighed down by uncertainty a day before a European Union summit about a possible bailout of debt-strapped Greece.

The dollar gained after U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said policymakers may raise the discount rate "before long," boosting expectations the U.S. central bank would start tightening monetary policy earlier than its major counterparts. See [ID:nWEQ003786]

"There's a lot of vacillation on the part of policymakers, and there's a lot of uncertainty leading to the European Ministers' meeting tomorrow about whether Germany would be able to help Greece or not," said Samarjit Shankar, managing director of global FX strategy at BNY Mellon in Boston.

"Over the next few weeks, we're looking for the downtrend in the euro to continue gradually," Shankar said, expecting the euro to fall toward $1.35 by the end of the first quarter.

Finance ministers of the 16 countries in the euro zone and the head of the European Central Bank discussed Greece in a conference call on Wednesday, although they made no public comments.

Euro area finance officials said bilateral aid by individual EU members, chiefly Germany and France, or guarantees for Greek debt issues appeared the most likely solution, but they cautioned that no decision was imminent on the form of assistance. See [ID:nLDE6190UP]

In afternoon trading, the euro fell 0.4 percent to $1.3734, after hitting a session low of $1.3678, according to Reuters data.

The single currency had climbed a full 1 percent on Tuesday and pulled further away from an 8-1/2-month trough around $1.3580 hit last week.

Some analysts were unconvinced a bailout, if there was one, would solve all of Greece's problems. Concerns about the fiscal positions of similarly debt-impaired euro zone countries such as Portugal and Spain also made investors wary.

"I don't think the market is wholeheartedly embracing the idea that with a possible bailout, the worst is behind Greece or the euro zone," said Vassili Serebriakov, senior currency strategist at Wells Fargo in New York.

"Even if the bailout does come, it's probably a bad signal for the euro zone in the sense that seemingly bad behavior is being encouraged," he added.

The dollar reversed losses against the yen and last traded at 89.94 yen , up 0.3 percent.

Against a basket of currencies <.DXY>, the dollar index rose 0.2 percent to 80.030

In his most comprehensive description to date of how the Fed aims to withdraw its stimulus, Bernanke said the Fed could soon raise the discount rate it charges banks for emergency loans, but stressed that would not be akin to a tightening in monetary policy. See [ID:nN10166741]

"At the margin, the market is taking him as being slightly more hawkish," said Jacob Oubina, senior currency strategist at Forex.com in Bedminster, New Jersey.

"He said that the Fed may opt to raise the discount rate 'before long.' That's being construed as dollar-positive because it suggests the Fed will be more aggressive than, say, the ECB, or the Bank of England ... in terms of tightening policy."

Sterling fell broadly after the Bank of England released dovish inflation forecasts and left open the door to extending quantitative easing. See [ID:nLDE61924L]

The pound last traded down 0.7 percent at $1.5601 , while the euro rose 0.3 percent to 88.04 pence (Additional reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Padraic Cassidy)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.