Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-Euro falls as ECB signals pause; dollar broadly up

Published 09/08/2011, 04:24 PM
Updated 09/08/2011, 04:28 PM
EUR/GBP
-
EUR/CHF
-

* Euro falls more than 1 percent, breaches $1.39 support

* ECB's Trichet: "intensified downside risks" to growth

* Fed Bernanke offers no new details on easing options

(Updates prices, adds U.S. dollar index)

By Wanfeng Zhou

NEW YORK, Sept 8 (Reuters) - The euro fell to a two-month low against the dollar on Thursday after the European Central Bank signaled a pause in its interest-rate tightening cycle that began just five months ago.

The euro area economy is subject to "intensified downside risks," ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said in a press conference after the ECB left rates at 1.5 percent, marking a significant change in stance from last month when the bank was focused on inflation risks. For details, see [ID:nL5E7K80SP]

Trichet's comments had pushed the euro down more than 1 percent against the dollar. Losses deepened after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke offered no details of potential easing measures to boost a flagging U.S. economy, which encouraged some dollar bulls. See [ID:nW1E7IR02M]

"We haven't heard anything that moves the debate about (a third round of quantitative easing) forward. So in that respect, there's perhaps a diminished chance that we will see any Fed action at this month's policy meeting," said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington.

The euro fell as low as $1.38750 on trading platform EBS, its lowest since July 12, with losses accelerating after breaching support near $1.3900 -- the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement of its low to high this year.

It last traded at $1.3885, down 1.5 percent on the day. The euro also lost 1.4 percent against the British pound to 86.97 pence .

Trichet "is definitely signaling neutrality, but in that couching language of maybe accommodative monetary policy, if GDP turns negative," said Boris Schlossberg, director of currency research at GFT in Jersey City, New Jersey. "There is no more tightening in the foreseeable future as the economic data has definitely deteriorated."

Money markets are pricing in a chance of a rate cut by the ECB as early as October as the European debt crisis shows no sign of relenting and the global economic outlook deteriorates. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Graphic on interest rate expectations

http://link.reuters.com/pej23s ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

EURO DOWNSIDE

A close below its 200-day moving average, currently around $1.4023, should signal further declines in the euro/dollar, traders said. The pair broke and closed below this level on Tuesday. The next key downside target lies at $1.38376 on EBS, the euro's low set on July 12.

Greece on Thursday reported its economy shrank 7.3 percent in the second quarter from a year ago, highlighting the difficulties indebted countries face in trying to reduce their deficits. [ID:nL5E7K80RJ]

The bickering and policy disagreements among the 17 member countries in the euro zone has even given rise to concerns among some investors the bloc may eventually break up, traders say. Greece on Thursday ruled out quitting the euro.

Sterling slipped 0.2 percent to $1.5966 , after earlier rising above $1.60 after the Bank of England kept interest rates at 0.5 percent and made no changes to its asset-purchasing program. [ID:nAHL8KE72R]

Against the yen, the dollar rose 0.3 percent to 77.46 . Selling by Japanese exporters was seen capping the pair around 77.50 yen.

The dollar rallied 2 percent to 0.8749 Swiss franc, after hitting a 3-1/2-month high of 0.87704 franc on EBS.

The franc has been under pressure after the Swiss National Bank on Tuesday imposed a floor on euro/Swiss franc at 1.2000. The euro rose 0.4 percent to 1.2145 francs .

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar index jumped 1 percent to 76.246 <.DXY>. (Additional reporting by Nick Olivari and Steven C. Johnson; Editing by Andrew Hay)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.