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Crude falls as Yellen comments sends investors to dollar

Published 03/20/2014, 02:27 PM
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Investing.com - Crude prices edged lower in choppy trading on Thursday as the dollar advanced after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen suggested rate hikes could come around the first half of 2015.

A rising greenback often softens oil prices by making the commodity less attractive on dollar-denominated exchanges.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude for delivery in May traded at $98.99 a barrel during U.S. trading, down 0.18%. New York-traded oil futures hit a session low of $98.10 a barrel and a high of $99.45 a barrel.

The May contract settled up 0.29% at $99.17 a barrel on Wednesday.

Nymex oil futures were likely to find support at $97.00 a barrel, Monday's low, and resistance at $102.89 a barrel, the high from March 7.

The dollar shot up after Yellen suggested at a Wednesday press conference that interest rates could rise six months after the Fed's bond-buying program ends.

The Fed is currently buying $55 billion in Treasury and mortgage debt a month, and expectations for the monetary authority to taper that figure gradually and close the program by fall followed by rate hikes in 2015 strengthened the dollar against most major currencies.

Fed asset purchases aim to stimulate the economy by suppressing interest rates, weakening the dollar as long as they remain in effect, and talk of their dismantling strengthens the greenback.

Elsewhere, data on Thursday showed that fewer individuals sought first-time jobless benefits in U.S. last week than markets were expecting, which added to the dollar's gains.

The Department of Labor reported that the number of people filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending March 15 rose by 5,000 to 320,000 from the previous week’s total of 315,000. Analysts had expected jobless claims to rise by 10,000 last week.

A separate report showed that manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia-region expanded at a faster rate than expected in March,

In a report, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said that its manufacturing index improved to a reading of 9.0 this month from February’s -6.3 reading. Analysts had expected the index to rise to 3.8 in March.

On the index, a reading above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions.

The survey’s broadest indicators for general activity, new orders, and shipments increased and recorded positive readings this month, suggesting a return to growth following weather-related weakness in February.

Company employment levels were near steady, but responses reflected optimism about adding to payrolls over the next six months.

The survey's indicators of future activity reflected optimism about continued growth over the next six months.

Soft housing data failed to seriously dent the greenback's advance, as markets dismissed the disappointing numbers as the product of rough winter weather, which kept oil prices at bay.

The National Association of Realtors reported earlier that existing home sales fell 0.4% to a seasonally adjusted 4.60 million units in February from 4.62 million in January.

February’s pace of sales was the lowest since July 2012.

Oil prices didn't plummet, as better-than-expected data coupled

Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil futures for May delivery were up 0.59% and trading at US$106.48 a barrel, while the spread between the Brent and U.S. crude contracts stood at US$7.49 a barrel.

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