Black Friday Sale! Save huge on InvestingProGet up to 60% off

Weak yen lifts Japan's exports but higher import bills hurt business mood

Published 04/16/2024, 08:01 PM
Updated 04/16/2024, 11:01 PM
© Reuters. A cargo ship and containers are seen at an industrial port in Tokyo, Japan, February 15, 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/ File Photo

By Tetsushi Kajimoto

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's exports grew for the fourth straight month in March driven by U.S.-bound car shipments, although business confidence at big firms soured amid a slump in the yen and signalled that a sure-footed economic recovery was some time away.

Ministry of Finance data out on Wednesday showed Japan's exports rose 7.3% year-on-year in March, compared with 7.8% gain in the previous month and 7.0% growth seen by economists in a Reuters poll.

However, in terms of volume, Japan's shipments fell 2.1% year-on-year in March, casting doubt about the strength of the export engine, a key driver of the economy.

Policymakers will be keen to see solid export growth picking up the slack of feeble demand at home, which will allow the Bank of Japan to continue normalising monetary policy.

"When you look at export volume, the trend is looking down, pressured by a slumping German economy," said Hiroshi Miyazaki, senior research fellow at Itochu Economic Research Institute.

"I expect exports to recover from April led by solid U.S. consumption. That would help Japan's economic recovery, paving the way for the BOJ to raise rates again by around autumn."

The trade data comes on the heels of a Reuters monthly poll that showed large companies' business confidence slid in April, dragged down by cost-of-living pressures and shaky economic conditions in major market China.

The yen's weakening to levels unseen since 1990 during the heyday of the asset-inflated bubble is lifting the cost of imports in a blow to household consumption, the survey showed.

The Japanese currency hit 34-year lows to the dollar beyond 154 yen this week, prompting repeated warnings from authorities that they stood ready to take action against speculative or destabilising currency moves.

© Reuters. A cargo ship and containers are seen at an industrial port in Tokyo, Japan, February 15, 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/ File Photo

A raft of data so far this year has pointed to insufficient demand in the economy. That's one reason why the BOJ has flagged a cautious track to monetary tightening following its landmark decision to end negative interest rates last month.

"Our sales appear to be boosted due to the impact of a weak yen, but there's no sign of recovery in terms of volume," a manager of a chemicals maker wrote in the survey.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.