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Iron ore seen driving Australia's resources export earnings to a record in 2020/21

Published 06/27/2021, 10:09 AM
Updated 06/27/2021, 10:10 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A stacker unloads iron ore onto a pile at a mine located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia December 2, 2013. REUTERS/David Gray/File Photo
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MELBOURNE (Reuters) - Booming iron ore prices are expected to account for nearly half of Australia's record export earnings from resources this financial year and the country anticipates further gains ahead, according to a government report on Monday.

Earnings from Australian resources exports are estimated to come in at a record A$310 billion ($235.41 billion) in the 2020-2021 financial year ending in June, rising to A$334 billion the following year as industrial activity ramps up following COVID-19 restrictions.

The Department of Industry revised its estimate up by 14% from a March forecast due to strong iron ore prices, which hit an all-time high above $200 a tonne in early May on strong steelmaking demand.

"This is a very strong result in the context of the global COVID-19 pandemic," it said in its June quarterly report.

"Advanced economies and most of Australia’s major trading partners are continuing to recover strongly from the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic."

Australia's mining sector makes up around 10% of the country's' gross domestic product and iron ore is the country's top export.

Australia expects iron ore prices to average $137 this financial year from a March forecast of $128, and $129 next financial year, the government report said.

LNG export earnings are expected to jump 53% to A$49 billion in the year to June 2022 on the back of higher oil prices and a 5% rise in export volumes as problems at the Gorgon LNG and Prelude floating LNG are resolved, according to the report.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A stacker unloads iron ore onto a pile at a mine located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia December 2, 2013. REUTERS/David Gray/File Photo

The government has also revised up expectations for thermal coal prices this year to $74 from $60, and to $82 next year. Copper price expectations stand at $7,882 from a March forecast of $7,649, and are seen at $8,579 next year.

($1 = 1.3168 Australian dollars)

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