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Market Wire Update:
Preparing For The Week Ahead
Forex Trader Note: Australia, Euro-zone, and the U.K. interest rate decisions are posted this week, as is ADP and NFP employment data, and in between we have a constant drip-feed of red-flag releases. We will be looking for individual price action each day on each major pair, rather than looking for the dollar index to move as one. The AUD/USD may find action after analysts expect a rate increase from the RBA on Monday, which is something that the previous Meeting Minutes do not clearly back.
Red Flag Economics:
08:30 EST Cad GDP Exp. 0.4% Prev. -0.1%
19:30 EST Aud Building Approvals Exp. 2.1% Prev. 2.7%
22:30 EST Aud Cash Interest Rate Exp. 3.75% Prev. 3.5%
Dollar Index: The dollar index went into Neutral mode on 26th Oct and has held that trend since. The near-term path of least resistance is consolidation of new lows. A weekly close above 76.00 (that signals buyers are dominating), is a long way off. Swing Point: 75.20
S&P Futures: The S&P futures market confirmed a Long momentum read on Nov 11th and has built a near-term support base around 1060. The 1110 area will be a major resistance point to battle this week. Swing Point: 1085
Crude Oil: There is still a very flat momentum read to crude oil trade, that has been in place since 6th Nov. The 76.50 area continues to be a main price point, after sellers were held at bay around 75.50. The 80.50 area is the topside number to breach. Swing Point: 75.10
Gold Bullion: Gold signaled long on 3rd Nov and has easily held that mode. 1165 is near-term support, backing any long tests of 1200. Now looking for a Options reversal signal that buys time to see gold fall. Swing Point: 1167.