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Three Reasons Why Solana Price Is at Risk of 20% Decline

Published 07/27/2022, 04:40 AM
Updated 07/27/2022, 05:00 AM
© Reuters.  Three Reasons Why Solana Price Is at Risk of 20% Decline
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  • Solana’s price witnessed a 15% decline over the past two weeks.
  • With the marketwide correction ahead of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, Solana’s price is likely to drop to $31.77 and support at $29.59.
  • If Solana’s price flips resistance at $41.05 and crosses the 50-day moving average, a new uptrend to $78.02 is likely.

Solana’s price plummeted 25% since July 19 high of $44.37. The Ethereum-killer is struggling to recoup its losses and make a complete recovery amidst bear market woes. Further correction is likely in Solana; the altcoin could witness an extended downtrend, revisiting support at $31.77 and $29.59.

Cryptocurrencies in the top 30 by market capitalization witnessed a steep decline in prices as the macroeconomic outlook remains negative. Traders are risk-averse and are pulling capital out of cryptocurrencies. The “Merge trade” trend has faded out as futures trading racked up $88 million in losses in Solana’s top competitor — Ethereum. While Ethereum slid nearly 9%, Solana posted a 15% decline over the past two weeks. Senior market analysts have predicted a prolonged snoozefest that fits into historical patterns.

Typically, in response to the Federal Reserve’s rate hike announcement, cryptocurrencies witness a drawdown, and prices plummet. Recovery is attempted a few hours post the announcement, and it is priced in within two to three days. If history repeats, the price of Solana could witness a continuation of the downtrend and attempt a recovery after sweeping support at $29.59.

However, bulls continue to wrestle the bears and push Solana’s price higher. If the token’s price flips resistance at $41.05, it crosses the 50-day EMA. This makes a trend reversal likely, and Solana could witness a massive rally to the bullish target of $78.02.

SOL-USDT Perpetual Contract (Source: TradingView)

Currently, there are no meaningful growth drivers in Solana’s ecosystem or the wider crypto market, under the weight of the Federal Reserve’s rate hike decision. However, this could change by the end of the week. If a clear buy signal emerges in Bitcoin, a rally in the asset could push Solana prices higher by correlation.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are solely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect the views of CoinQuora. No information in this article should be interpreted as investment advice. CoinQuora encourages all users to do their own research before investing in cryptocurrencies.

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