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MoffettNathanson sets target on The Trade Desk stock, starts at Neutral

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 09/23/2024, 08:14 AM
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On Monday, MoffettNathanson initiated coverage on The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) with a Neutral rating and a price target of $100.00. The firm highlighted The Trade Desk's position as a primary beneficiary of the shift from traditional linear television advertising to connected TV (CTV).

The analyst pointed out the historical paradoxes of television advertising, such as the existence of upfronts, rising cost per thousand (CPM) rates amid falling ratings, and the industry's skepticism towards Nielsen as a currency. Despite these inconsistencies, traditional TV ad sales practices prevailed due to the networks' control over a limited supply of national TV video impressions and their ability to manage demand through upfront negotiations.

However, with the decline in U.S. Pay TV households and the fragmentation of video audiences, The Trade Desk has capitalized on the transition to CTV advertising. The company is noted for its strong position in the market, benefiting from a "deep moat" and support from both advertisers and publishers.

The analyst anticipates that The Trade Desk is unlikely to face revenue disappointments in the near to mid-term. This outlook is based on the increasing number of premium video publishers joining The Trade Desk's platform, which is seen as a sign of the company's growing influence in the advertising sector.

The report marks the end of an era dominated by linear TV sales practices and welcomes a new age of programmatic advertising and inventory abundance.

In other recent news, The Trade Desk, a leader in the digital advertising space, reported a 26% increase in Q2 sales and an improved adjusted EBITDA margin of 41%. The company also projected a Q3 revenue of $618 million and an expected adjusted EBITDA of around $248 million.

In contrast, Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) showed favorable trends in its performance, while Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)'s performance was softer than expected. Piper Sandler noted an upward revision in the full-year growth rate for the digital ad market, with streaming now accounting for 41.4% of total TV viewership in the U.S. Meanwhile, Baird maintained an Outperform rating on The Trade Desk's stock, while Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage with a Neutral rating. BofA Securities and Citi initiated coverage with a Buy rating.

InvestingPro Insights


As The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) navigates the shift from traditional TV to connected TV advertising, recent metrics from InvestingPro provide a snapshot of the company's financial health and market performance. With a substantial market capitalization of $53.83 billion, The Trade Desk boasts a high P/E ratio of 211.62, reflecting significant investor confidence in its future earnings potential despite the high multiple. This optimism is further supported by a robust revenue growth of 25.53% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, indicating a healthy expansion in the company's business.

InvestingPro Tips highlight the company's financial prudence, with The Trade Desk holding more cash than debt, which may offer stability in turbulent market conditions. Additionally, the company's net income is expected to grow this year, a positive sign for potential investors. For those seeking more detailed analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on The Trade Desk, which can be explored for a deeper dive into the company's prospects.

The Trade Desk's impressive gross profit margin of 81.23% showcases its ability to maintain profitability, which is a key factor when considering the long-term sustainability of its business model in the competitive advertising technology landscape. With 12 analysts having revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, there is a consensus that the company's financial performance is on an upward trajectory. To explore more insights and tips, including those not covered here, investors can visit InvestingPro for a comprehensive look at The Trade Desk's financial outlook.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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