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Deutsche Bank downgrades Regency Centers stock as valuation limits upside

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/26/2024, 04:39 AM
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On Thursday, Deutsche Bank adjusted its stance on Regency Centers (NASDAQ:REG), a real estate investment trust specializing in shopping centers, changing the stock's rating from Buy to Hold. Despite the downgrade, the price target was increased to $75 from the previous $70.

The shift in rating follows a significant increase in the company's stock value. Since the Buy rating was initiated on January 29, 2024, Regency Centers' stock has risen by 14.0%. This growth has led to an expansion in the price-to-funds from operations (P/FFO) multiple of Regency Centers, which is now 1.6 times higher than before, placing it above its five-year average.

Regency Centers is currently valued at 16.9 times P/FFO, making it the most expensive within Deutsche Bank's coverage of shopping center investments, surpassed only by SITE Centers Corp. (NYSE:SITC) at 18.5 times and Acadia Realty Trust (NYSE:AKR) at 18.1 times. This is compared to an average P/FFO of 15.3 times for the broader Shopping Center REIT subsector.

Despite the downgrade, the bank acknowledges Regency Centers' development-focused strategy and the potential to improve its signed-not-commenced (SNC) pipeline. These factors are seen as opportunities for Regency Centers to drive superior same-store net operating income (SS NOI) growth and funds from operations per share (FFO/sh) growth in comparison to its peers.

However, the current valuation multiples are seen as a limiting factor for further stock price appreciation unless there is an acceleration in earnings beyond current levels.

In other recent news, Regency Centers Corporation has been making significant strides in its operations. The company recently priced a public offering of senior unsecured notes valued at $325 million, with plans to use the net proceeds to reduce its line of credit and for general corporate purposes.

This follows a strong Q2 performance in 2024, marked by increased sales, traffic trends, and record shop lease rates. As a result, the company raised its full-year guidance due to robust leasing activity and results.

In addition, Regency Centers plans to initiate over $1 billion in development and redevelopment projects over the next five years. BMO Capital Markets maintained an Outperform rating for the company, highlighting consistent leasing demand, a substantial pipeline of signed-but-not-occupied leases, and growing contributions from redevelopment projects as key growth drivers.

The company's solid financial standing, demonstrated by recent stock buybacks and $1.5 billion of capacity on its revolver, is seen as a key factor in its ability to sustain growth.

Furthermore, Regency Centers reported a 6% year-over-year increase in foot traffic and retention rates above 80%, with increased institutional capital entering the open shopping center space. These recent developments underscore the company's strategic approach to growth and commitment to delivering value to shareholders.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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