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Analyst sees balanced risk/reward for Darden Restaurants stock despite soft FQ1 results

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 09/20/2024, 02:50 PM
DRI
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On Friday, Baird analyst David Tarantino updated the price target for Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), increasing it to $172.00 from the previous $156.00. The firm maintained a Neutral rating on the stock. The adjustment followed the company's first fiscal quarter results which, despite being soft, showed an improving comparable sales trend after a decline in July. Darden Restaurants has also maintained its fiscal 2025 guidance, although it now appears that the lower end of the guidance range is more probable than the higher end.

Tarantino highlighted the announcement of a new partnership for first-party delivery as a potential incremental sales driver for fiscal year 2026 estimates. This development comes as part of Darden's strategic efforts to bolster its long-term growth prospects. The analyst expressed a continued positive stance on the company's fundamental outlook over the long term.

Despite the optimistic view on Darden's future, Baird's analysis suggests a balanced risk/reward scenario for the stock in the near term. This perspective takes into account the ongoing uncertainties surrounding the macroeconomic environment, which could affect the company's performance. The firm's updated stance was based on recent trends and announcements, without speculating on broader market implications.

In the statement provided, Tarantino detailed the rationale behind maintaining the Neutral rating and the revised price target. "All in, we remain positive on DRI's long-term fundamental outlook, but we consider the near-term risk/reward on the stock balanced (particularly in light of today's move) given lingering uncertainties about the macro outlook," the analyst commented.

The report reflects Baird's latest assessment of Darden Restaurants, focusing on recent company developments and their potential impact on the stock's value. It does not include predictions or expectations beyond the current fiscal outlook provided by the company.

In other recent news, Darden Restaurants has been the focus of several financial firms following its first quarter fiscal year 2025 results. Stephens raised its target for Darden to $164, citing the company's operational strengths and a new delivery partnership with Uber (NYSE:UBER). Despite weaker-than-expected earnings, Darden reported a 1% increase in sales, reaching $2.8 billion. The company also announced the pending acquisition of Chuy's, which is expected to be neutral to earnings per share for the fiscal year.

Evercore ISI upgraded Darden's stock to "Outperform" and increased the price target to $205, anticipating profitable sales growth bolstered by a more aggressive marketing strategy and the introduction of Uber Eats as a delivery option. BTIG also maintained a "Buy" rating and increased the price target for Darden, acknowledging the potential of the Uber Eats partnership and the company's sales initiatives.

Citi raised its price target for Darden, maintaining a "Buy" rating and recognizing the company's strategic responses to market challenges. UBS maintained its "Buy" rating on Darden's stock, highlighting the company's ongoing strategic initiatives to increase customer traffic and sales.

InvestingPro Insights


As Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI) navigates the current fiscal landscape, the company's financial health and market performance are key factors for investors to consider. According to InvestingPro data, Darden Restaurants boasts a substantial market capitalization of $20.48 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the industry. Notably, the company's revenue has experienced a healthy growth of 8.6% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, which aligns with the improving sales trend noted by Baird analyst David Tarantino.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Darden Restaurants has a commendable track record of maintaining dividend payments for 30 consecutive years, with a dividend yield of 3.52% as of the latest fiscal year. This consistency in returning value to shareholders may be attractive to those looking for stable income investments. Moreover, the company is trading near its 52-week high, with the price at 97.42% of the peak, suggesting a strong market sentiment towards DRI's stock.

However, it's important to note that some analysts have revised their earnings expectations downwards for the upcoming period, and the stock is trading at a high P/E ratio of 18.33 relative to near-term earnings growth. This information could indicate potential caution for investors looking at the short-term horizon. For those interested in a deeper dive into the company's performance and additional expert analysis, InvestingPro offers a total of 10 InvestingPro Tips for Darden Restaurants, available at https://www.investing.com/pro/DRI.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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