Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

UPDATE 2-Brent crude tops $118 on robust demand from China

Published 05/11/2011, 02:43 AM
CL
-

* China's oil demand up 8.8 pct in April from a year earlier

* China's April inflation at higher-than-expected 5.3 pct

* U.S. cuts forecasts for 2011 global oil demand growth (Recasts with rising prices, adds analyst comments)

By Alejandro Barbajosa

SINGAPORE, May 11 (Reuters) - Brent crude rose past $118 on Wednesday after a jump in China's implied oil demand to the third-highest level on record showed that Beijing's efforts to cool the economy of the second-largest oil consumer are doing little to dent use.

Brent crude for June gained 80 cents to $118.43 a barrel by 0737 GMT after earlier trading as low as $117.08. U.S. crude rose 50 cents to $104.38.

"The bullish data shows that China's oil demand growth is still very much intact," despite the government's tightening measures, said Serene Lim, an ANZ Bank oil analyst based in Singapore.

With the start of the summer U.S. driving season around the corner, investors are focusing on falling inventories of gasoline in the world's top market, paying less attention to rising crude stockpiles.

"U.S. gasoline inventories have been coming off, so we still see healthy demand despite concerns of higher commodity prices slowing consumption," Lim said.

U.S. gasoline stocks fell by 1.8 million barrels in the week to May 6, the American Petroleum Institute said late on Tuesday, versus an expected drop of 200,000 barrels. Inventories are now nearly 11 million barrels below levels this time last year.

Robust demand growth in China is also helping allay concerns of a deteriorating outlook for consumption in top consumer the United States.

Oil prices will stay firmly above $100 a barrel for the rest of the year despite last week's correction and might even target new highs as supplies remain tight and developing economies grow, a Reuters poll showed. [ID:nLDE7451PZ]

"The crude market has some place for prices to go higher," Lim said.

CHINA'S IMPLIED OIL DEMAND

China's implied oil demand, a combination of crude oil throughput and net imports of refined oil products, was at 9.32 million barrels per day (bpd) last month, Reuters calculations showed, up 8.8 percent from a year earlier. [ID:nL3E7GB0AP]

The jump in demand came even as the country's industrial output growth in April missed expectations with a slight slowdown to 13.4 percent on the year from a pace of 14.8 percent in March, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday.

China's inflation eased a touch to 5.3 percent in the year to April from a 32-month high of 5.4 percent in March but was still higher than expected, keeping the door open for more tightening steps. [ID:nL3E7GB06W]

Demand elsewhere, especially in developed economies, may not be as resilient to high prices.

The U.S. government late on Tuesday cut its projection for world oil demand this year by the most in 10 months, as crude prices well over $100 a barrel are starting to take a bite out of consumption. [ID:nN10109808]

The U.S. Energy Information Administration's 120,000 barrel per day (bpd) reduction in its 2011 demand growth forecast is the latest sign that analysts are factoring in less fuel use as a result of gasoline and jet fuel prices approaching 2008 peaks.

OPEC and the Paris-based Energy Information Administration will release their reports later this week.

More than half the reduction was due to lower than expected fuel use in the U.S., where 2011 oil demand will grow by only 130,000 bpd, the EIA said its Short-Term Energy Outlook. A month ago the agency had predicted growth of 210,000 bpd.

API data showed U.S. crude stockpiles rose 2.9 million barrels last week, compared with a forecast of a 1.4 million-barrel gain in a Reuters poll, helped by higher imports.

U.S. government data on oil inventories and demand from the EIA will follow later on Wednesday.

In Japan, commercial crude inventories rose 6.9 percent last week, reflecting a lower refinery utilisation rate following weak product sales after a devastating earthquake hit northeast Japan in March, hurting consumer sentiment. [ID:nL3E7GB0IG] (Editing by Clarence Fernandez)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.