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US STOCKS-Wall St set for flat open; CPI offsets FedEx view

Published 06/17/2009, 09:28 AM
Updated 06/17/2009, 09:40 AM
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* May consumer price data eases inflation worry

* FedEx tops Q4 estimates, but gives cautious outlook

* Obama to unveil financial regulatory package

* Futures mixed:Dow -29 pts; S&P -2.8 pts; Nasdaq +0.5 pts

(Adds CPI data, FedEx earnings, Qualcomm and Texas Instruments and upgrades)

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK, June 17 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures pointed to a flat to lower open on Wednesday as key data for May tempered inflation concerns but was offset by a disappointing earnings outlook from package delivery company FedEx Corp.

The May Consumer Price Index rose 0.1 percent month-over-month after being flat in April, below the median forecast of a Reuters poll of 68 economists for a 0.3 percent increase. Excluding the more volatile food and energy prices, the index rose in line with analyst expectation of a 0.1 percent increase.

The recent surge in commodity prices and oil's brief run-up above $73 a barrel last week had led to investors concerns that inflation pressures may have been seeping into the broader economy.

"Certainly (it's) a disinflation or even a deflation environment currently," said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment officer of Solaris Asset Management in Bedford Hills, New York.

"So the worries that everyone has about inflation, it's something that may occur -- it's not going to definitely occur, and it's certainly not an imminent threat to the economy."

Economic bellwether FedEx slid 3 percent to $49.90 in premarket trade after reporting fourth-quarter earnings that topped Wall Street estimates but cautioned the operating environment for the next two quarters are expected to be extremely difficult.

S&P 500 futures slipped 2.8 points and were slightly below fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract. Dow Jones industrial average futures dipped 29 points, while Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.5 points.

The spotlight will also be on the details of the Obama administration's financial regulatory reform package, due to be announced later on Wednesday. President Barack Obama will present his proposals at 12:50 p.m. (1650 GMT).

Qualcomm Inc shares rose 1.9 percent to $44.27 in premarket trade after Goldman Sachs added the stock to its "conviction buy" list while rival Texas Instruments gained 2.7 percent to $21.28 after being upgraded by Banc of America Securities-Merill Lynch to "buy" from "underperform."

In the past two days, the benchmark S&P 500 has dropped more than 3 percent amid concerns that the economic recovery might prove weak and provide very little impetus for earnings growth.

"The focus simply is with the lightness of volume, the lack of significant trading occurring," added Ghriskey. "Are there simply no more buyers out there currently to step up and keep the rally going?"

The S&P 500, however, is still up 34.8 percent from its 12-year low of March 9, and even with Tuesday's selloff it managed to extend its hold above the 200-day moving average -- a crucial technical gauge for market strength -- to a 12th straight day.

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