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BMO keeps Incyte stock at underperform, price target at $52

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 11/19/2024, 01:38 PM
INCY
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On Tuesday, BMO Capital maintained its Underperform rating for Incyte (NASDAQ:INCY) Corporation (NASDAQ:INCY), with a steady price target of $52.00. The decision comes as Incyte announced a halt in the enrollment for its Phase 2 trial of INCB000262 in chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU) due to preclinical toxicology findings. Furthermore, the company has decided to discontinue the development of INCB000547 for cholestatic pruritus (CP), following Phase 2 results that did not meet expectations.

The analyst from BMO Capital expressed concerns over Incyte's pipeline, citing previous disappointments, including setbacks with ruxolitinib extended-release (rux-XR), parsaclisib, and adenosine. The recent failure of both assets from Escient Pharma, which Incyte acquired in May for $750 million, has further solidified these concerns. The analyst's skepticism, initially noted during a downgrade in July, remains intact in light of these developments.

Incyte's strategic moves have been under scrutiny, particularly after acquiring Escient Pharma. The termination of the MRGPRX4 program and the suspension of enrollment for the MRGPRX2 trial have raised questions about the potential of Incyte's pipeline to address worries surrounding its key product, Jakafi.

As Incyte confronts these pipeline challenges, the BMO Capital analyst's reiterated Underperform rating indicates a cautious stance on the company's stock performance. The $52.00 price target remains unchanged, reflecting the firm's assessment of Incyte's current valuation in the market.

In other recent news, Incyte Corporation has reported significant developments. The biopharmaceutical company has seen robust growth in its third-quarter 2024 earnings, with total revenues reaching $1.14 billion, marking a 24% increase year-over-year. Net product revenues stood at $963 million, largely driven by the success of its products Jakafi and Opzelura. Incyte has also raised its 2024 revenue guidance to between $2.74 billion and $2.77 billion.

On the downside, RBC Capital Markets has adjusted its outlook on Incyte, reducing its price target to $74 from the previous $80, while maintaining a Sector Perform rating. This decision follows an enrollment pause for one of Incyte's pipeline drugs, '262, due to toxicity findings. Additionally, the discontinuation of another drug, '547, also contributed to the revised price target.

In terms of future prospects, Incyte is preparing for several major product launches and expects substantial revenue contributions from Niktimvo, tafasitamab, and retifanlimab by 2029. The company has also revealed positive results from the Phase 3 study of tafasitamab for follicular lymphoma, with an sNDA filing expected later this year. These are among the recent developments that investors should keep an eye on.

InvestingPro Insights

Despite the challenges highlighted in BMO Capital's analysis, InvestingPro data reveals some interesting aspects of Incyte Corporation's financial position. The company's market capitalization stands at $13.11 billion, indicating its significant presence in the biotech sector. Incyte has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 23.81% increase in quarterly revenue as of Q3 2024, suggesting ongoing commercial success despite pipeline setbacks.

InvestingPro Tips offer additional context to Incyte's situation. One tip notes that management has been aggressively buying back shares, which could be interpreted as a sign of confidence in the company's long-term prospects. Another tip highlights that Incyte holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, potentially providing financial flexibility as it navigates its pipeline challenges.

It's worth noting that while BMO Capital maintains an Underperform rating, Incyte has shown a strong return over the last three months, with a price total return of 21.67%. This performance, coupled with the fact that 8 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggests a more complex picture than the rating alone might indicate.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips on Incyte, providing a broader perspective on the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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