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Autolus stock upgraded as obe-cel approval drives optimism for commercial potential

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11/15/2024, 03:28 AM
AUTL
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On Friday, Autolus Therapeutics plc (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AUTL) received an upgrade from Redburn-Atlantic, shifting from a Neutral to a Buy rating. The firm also set a new price target for Autolus at $13.00, signaling confidence in the company's future performance.

The upgrade follows the recent approval of Autolus's cell therapy product, obe-cel, which has been recognized as the first of its kind to be approved without a risk monitoring program.

The announcement of obe-cel's approval came unexpectedly early, a week before anticipated. Redburn-Atlantic expressed enthusiasm regarding Autolus's product and its market potential, particularly in the treatment of autoimmune conditions. The firm's positive outlook is bolstered by sales forecasts that exceed the consensus, suggesting a promising commercial trajectory for obe-cel.

According to Redburn-Atlantic, the approval marks a significant milestone for Autolus, setting the stage for the company to begin realizing the substantial upside to the newly established $13.00 price target. The firm's stance indicates a belief that the market has yet to fully appreciate the value of Autolus's offering and its implications for the company's commercial success.

The optimism from Redburn-Atlantic is rooted in Autolus's capabilities in commercializing obe-cel and the broader implications for the company's role in advancing cell therapy treatments. With the market's attention now turning to the company's progress, Autolus is positioned to potentially outperform expectations and deliver on its commercial promises.

Investors and market watchers will likely monitor Autolus's performance closely in the coming period, as the company embarks on the commercialization of obe-cel. The early approval and the positive sentiment from analysts could serve as a catalyst for the company's stock as it works to capitalize on its pioneering position in cell therapy.

In other recent news, Autolus Therapeutics reported on its third-quarter 2024 results, highlighting the FDA approval of AUCATZYL, a major development for the treatment of relapsed or refractory Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia. The company is advancing its pipeline with new studies and programs, despite a reported increase in operating expenses and a net loss for the quarter.

Autolus Therapeutics is expanding its network of treatment centers and anticipates future milestone payments and regulatory approvals. While the company's operating expenses and net loss increased compared to the previous year, it reported a substantial cash reserve of $657.1 million. In addition, Autolus Therapeutics expects a $30 million milestone payment from Blackstone (NYSE:BX) and a £10 million payment in the near future.

The company also expressed optimism about the potential for outpatient administration of obe-cel and is on track for EU approval by mid-2025. These are among the recent developments in Autolus Therapeutics' business operations.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent InvestingPro data provides additional context to Autolus Therapeutics' (NASDAQ: AUTL) market position following the approval of obe-cel. The company's market capitalization stands at $800.94 million, reflecting the market's current valuation of its potential. Despite the positive news, AUTL's stock has experienced a significant 19.3% decline over the past week and a 29.34% drop in the last month, trading near its 52-week low. This suggests that the market may not have fully priced in the recent approval and analyst upgrade.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Autolus holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could be crucial for supporting the commercialization of obe-cel. Additionally, analysts anticipate sales growth in the current year, aligning with Redburn-Atlantic's optimistic sales forecasts for the newly approved therapy.

However, investors should note that Autolus is quickly burning through cash and is not expected to be profitable this year. The company's revenue for the last twelve months was $10.09 million, with a substantial revenue growth of 82.71%, indicating the potential impact of obe-cel's approval on future earnings.

For those seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for AUTL, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position as it enters this critical commercialization phase.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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