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SGX Nikkei 225 USD Futures - Dec 18

Singapore
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
JP225DerivedJPY
SSIc1SingaporeJPY
JNMc1TokyoJPY
SSIc3SingaporeJPY
SSIc2SingaporeJPY
SSIc4SingaporeJPY
JNMc2TokyoJPY
JNMc3TokyoJPY
NKc2CMEUSD
NKc1CMEUSD
Currency in USD
22,660.00
0.00(0.00%)
Closed

Nikkei 225 Futures Discussions

Well its finally going to break the channel bottom and puke out. Made so much shorting the nasdaq today.
36000 tommorow, 39800 before that
33000 maybe
Your predictions of massive moves are never even close!
Your predictions of massive moves are never even close!
I think bottom is in now - analyst think by june it will be 45k
Analysts from the big banks quietly selling along with Warren Buffett? Speaking of quietly selling, are you aware Jamie Dimon just sold $233,000,000 worth of stock? The truth about analysts is they take their cues from stock prices. Meaning, they will be saying sell at the bottom and buy at the top. I'd also add that, generally speaking, analyst estimates are in the clouds. Lastly, that, in my younger days on Wall Street, I worked at a firm where the brokers would literally get word from the analysts they needed to sell. They would then call people, and tell them about a rare opportunity. After they hung up, they would have a really hard laugh. The trick is to learn to do the analysis yourself. Good luck to you, but I am concerned. The number of retail rushing into leveraged ETFs in the US has been through the roof while institutions and banks have been selling and buying treasuries. But again, do your own due diligence and trust nobody but yourself and your homework, knowledge and analysis.
Lol who the hell goes on anslyst targets? They are alwaus off. Get a basket of analysts and theyre as accirate as monkeys.
Core CPI in Japan is too high. This will prompt the BOJ to do hikes, I believe. Inflation in Japan has been crazy. I've witnessed crazy prices with my own eyes at supermarkets in Japan. I also know people who live in Tokyo and what they are seeing. The cost of living for lots of people there has grown too high, and in at least some cases is forcing them to sell their homes and such just to make ends meet. If inflation continues that situation will get more widespread, and we will get a collapse in Japan. The government also has limited power now to endlessly give people handouts with its extreme debt levels, and the BOJ's balance sheet is massive. Hence, I would tread very carefully. Profits in Japan are going to fall I think, and hard.
Core CPI in Japan is too high. This will prompt the BOJ to do hikes, I believe. Inflation in Japan has been crazy. I've witnessed crazy prices with my own eyes at supermarkets in Japan. I also know people who live in Tokyo and what they are seeing. The cost of living for lots of people there has grown too high, and in at least some cases is forcing them to sell their homes and such just to make ends meet. If inflation continues that situation will get more widespread, and we will get a collapse in Japan. The government also has limited power now to endlessly give people handouts with its extreme debt levels, and the BOJ's balance sheet is massive. Hence, I would trend very carefully. Profits in Japan are going to fall I think, and hard.
I might try a long with a tight stoploss for a day trade tmr. Cash technicals suggest a bounce is possible if the Yen doesnt strengthen.
Hmm maybe not. Nvidia gone red again. Hard to say direction but Fridays US definitely going to be down.
The US may lower rates. I think it could easily do that, given a rapidly deteriorating housing market. Trump seems to want that big time, too. Hence, I dunno. You also have tariffs about to kick in, and a lot of uncertainty about everything. I think there is still room to drop lower, but again. Don't trust someone on some forum over your own DD. Honestly, I could list a lot more reasons markets are a real crap shoot short term, and there are a LOT of potential reasons to be cautious. I don't know if you follow Buffett, but his actions have been very telling and indicative of what I see as a deep understanding of the risks currently in markets.
A lower US rate would result in lower dollar/yen, which would cause a hit to exporters out of Japan. That is why I mention it.
The market has grown used to NVDA beats. That and the Deepseek effects are going to make the coming move a real sight. You also have a market getting pounded hard. It reminds of when excessive bullish sentiment did not stop markets from stopping the up move. Only now, the question is, is it the opposite of that? If not, it soon will be, I believe. The time is coming for fair prices again, probably even cheap ones when the market overshoots on the way down.
NVDA earnings on tap. That could move US markets which typically influences this. Also US housing is showing cracks, and the debt wall is massive. If the yen carry trade begins unravelling look out below.
Leo caprio Just like markets that ripped kept ripping, at some point markets that dipped will keep dipping.
Nvidia is all priced in. Currently slightly red.
Yeah, I see that. But give it time. I think we may have one final drop and then a rally. Then after that the house of cards starts collapsing in waves. Don't trust me though, or anyone but yourself. That said, I am tired of bubble prices you can't buy. It is a pending disaster for many people. A lot who have rushed into stocks without any knowledge or experience are playing with fire in a vat of gasoline. A lot will suffer huge losses. The idea that stocks are only worth what someone else will pay has outstayed its welcome.
This is about to break below the range its been in since last September. Guess there’ll be a lot if stoploss selling below 37700.
I was looking to buy at these prices seems quite cheap - where do you think this will go
knew i should have bought
you mean for a scalp? I went short then longed at 38750 yesterday during Nikkei cash. But next time it hits that lower dnd sipport i bet it breaks.
it will recover soon
Stop spamming the board. I just covered shorts. You said itll go up. But it fell instead. It’ll probably follow the US down break 38K next week
Also, Willie, note that profits in the US and Japan bumped up because of massive government spending. The problem with that is such government actions boost profits short term, but the higher debt actually lowers GDP long term. It hammers the GDP multiplier the higher it goes, and Japan's debt is excessive. The US debt is also getting bad. That is why governments should not do that. It effectively boosts today at the cost of tomorrow. The problem with government and politicians at the helm is that they win popularity contests with voters, and as such, mostly lack IQ points.
It looks like the jig is up. It's only a matter of time now before the whole house of cards collapses.
Typical of booms, profits spike up, but without GDP rising, such rises ALWAYS prove temporary. No way GDP is going to double in the short term to justify current stock prices. It is only a matter of time before the analysts with their rosy profit estimates catch on to reality. Speaking of GDP, it has barely moved for decades. Japan is not a solid place to park your money for the long term not only for that reason either.
If you don't know why GDP matters, you might also wonder why Buffett calls market cap to GDP, also known as the Buffett Indicator, the single best valuation measure for an index or market. In a nutshell, GDP is what leads profits, not the other way around.
Put yet another way, when profits and GDP diverge, profits move to match their typical correlation level with GDP, not the other way around. The current divergence is massive.
GUYS BUY NOW..
The time to buy was two years ago. This bubble is doomed.
Guys Buy now....
Like I said two weeks ago, 38,000. This level may or may not hold for now. If it breaks, we could be looking at 36 to 37k.
Let's see the waterfall in the coming weeks
4% inflation not good at all
Currently short. Nikkei cash needs to hold 38,050 or it’ll get ugly like last year. Long weekend though. Not sure if i want to keep my shorts over the weekend
Modern central banks are like Anakin Skywalker. They were supposed to bring balance to economies. But instead they created massive bubbles.
Yup
Kuroda and Ueda are the worst of the lot. The two are Darth Vader and Kylo Ren, and both will be remembered for turning to the Dark Side.
38200 today or tommorow
End cycle kicking in now or approaching anyhow. Lookout below. 20k coming. No, not today. Not tomorrow. Or next week even. Next month? Naw. But it's coming. So buckle up. The global debt levels are nothing shy of nuts. And asset bubbles are massive in more than a few cases.
No, I didn't take a loss at all. I added to my position. :D
I don't close positions if I know the numbers inside out. And I don't take positions without knowing them first. In my early days in markets I learned to watch your position sizes, first. Second, I learned I was ALWAYS right because I did my homework, and that if I closed positions early, I usually got burned. That said, I have learned that you can't easily judge the thinking of the crowd shorting or buying reverse ETFs. The crowd can be way off the mark, and they can take things to real extremes--which they have in these nutso times. I ought to have heeded the words of warning Keynes, which in so many words is that in that markets people be extremely irrational. Put another way I have been on the wrong side of this thing, but the numbers don't lie. In the future, I don't think I am going to go against an irrational herd again. I have always made good money buying undervalued stocks and riding them up. I just regret that I didn't know central banks and governments would do everything in their power to foster massive bubbles. Sigh.
It's tough knowing what to do sometimes. I don't have the best access to good information like some do. In 2008, when Lehman went down I thought it was a good time to load the boat. Well, I was on the wrong side that time too. This time, I thought with SVB it was going to be another Lehman moment. I guess you win some, you lose some. That said, I don't close positions. I wait patiently. If I've learned anything in markets, it's to do your homework and wait patiently. Tough accounting for mass irrationality though, both ways. What looks like opportunities sometimes can be dead money for a LONG time.
forgot how to grow
Norinchukin defaulting! Wtf! This has been covered up in USA just coming out
Are they defaulting or just have a massive loss?
loss but need to liquidate to stay afloat look up theor 13f on google loaded to gills US EQUITIES
It's not only them that will be liquidating. Japanese banks and financial institutions in general have loaded the boat on US stocks and treasuries. If they don't liquidate they will be left holding the bag. The whole house of cards is beginning to teeter.
Norinchukin defaulting! Wtf! This has been covered up in USA just coming out
just be long........
Another prime minister fall down soon, the game is always toward to sad ending
...
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