Judy Crawford: Softs Report

Published 01/07/2011, 08:23 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
MAR COTTON: 

Last time it was struggling to get back over the 20 day ma.  It closed under it today and formed an outside day.  I would suggest a sell but the risk required doesn't make it reasonable.  Closed 141.22, down 3.98.

MAR ORANGE JUICE:  The key reversal top is still intact but OJ is in the process of challenging it.  After forming the key reversal top, it sold off one more day to support and has rallied since.  Today's high 178.45.  Just watching.  Closed 177.45, up 4.70.

MAR COFFEE:  As pointed out last time, the technicals are starting to suggest an potential sell-off.  The daily chart already has a sell signal and then formed another inside day today.  Just like cotton, to suggest a sell requires too much risk if you are going to have the stop in the right place.  I would be buying coffee puts.  Closed 233.00, unchanged.

MARCH COCOA:  It continues to look very negative on the long term chart.  It continues to trade under the 20 day ma.  It reached the 20 day ma on the weekly chart today.  That intersects at 28.30.  Just looking at the weekly chart, I do not think it will hold 28.00 ultimately.  The daily formed an inside day today but the current wave down on the daily has projections to 28.00.  Just watching.  Closed 28.30, down 18.

MAR SUGAR: 
An inside day yesterday triggered a sell today.  All the charts look negative.  Just like coffee and cotton, the required risk is too much.  I would buy puts.  Closed 30.24, down 1.86.

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