Oil markets had a quiet Friday session in directionless trade. Brent crude fell 0.25% to USD44.90 a barrel and WTI fell 0.30% to USD42.30 a barrel. A weaker US dollar this morning has supported oil, with both contracts edging 20 cents higher to USD45.10 and USD42.50 a barrel respectively.
WTI continues to flirt with its 200-day moving average (DMA) at these levels, but also now has firm resistance at USD43.00 a barrel just above. Support lies at USD41.00 a barrel. Brent crude has resistance at USD46.40 a barrel, followed by its 200-DMA at USD46.60 a barrel. Short-term support lies at USD44.30 a barrel.
Oil markets continue to be in a state of equilibrium at these levels. We note that speculative interest in the futures has also fallen, suggesting that short-term traders’ eyes are looking at opportunities elsewhere. The resurgence of Covid-19 around the world, notably Europe, appears to be crimping consumption expectations, meaning that oil has not caught the full tailwind of a falling US dollar. We are likely to experience range-trading for some time to come.
Both gold and silver continue to lick their wounds
The frenzied volatility of last week on gold and silver has clearly inflicted a lot of pain on the FOMO crowd. Both metals eased into the week’s end, in consolidative price action as traders licked their wounds. Gold fell 0.45% to USD1944.50 an ounce, and silver fell 3.80% to USD26.4500 an ounce.
Gold and Silver are in green now, but were largely directionless this morning, providing no clue about the next direction. The wise would be best to wait on the side-lines for the gnomes of Wall Street to arrive at their desks.