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The widely anticipated interest rate hike was announced by the Fed at the end of the two-day Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting yesterday. The federal funds rate, increased third time this year, now stands at 1.50%.
Despite this, the majority of the finance sector stocks ended the day in red, dragging the S&P 500 slightly lower. Also, the S&P 500 Financial and the S&P 500 Bank indexes were down 1.3% and 1.5%, respectively.
Wondering why the stocks were down? Well, investors expected a bit more hawkish stance from the Fed with regards to the pace of rate hike next year and beyond. But the outgoing Fed chair Janet Yellen stuck to the prior estimation of three interest rate increases next year and two in 2019.
While a slew of favorable economic data including continued strengthening of the labor market, increase in household spending, rise in economic activities and better-than-expected GDP numbers in the third quarter support a hawkish stance, the soft inflation numbers seem to be concerning. Unless the inflation target of 2% is not met, chances of any change in the pace of rate hike are less.
In a statement, the Fed said, “…[T]he Committee continues to expect that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market conditions will remain strong. Inflation on a 12-month basis is expected to remain somewhat below 2 percent in the near term but to stabilize around the Committee's 2 percent objective over the medium term.”
Nonetheless, a big change, likely next year in the form of expected stimulus from the implementation of tax legislation may alter the Fed stance. The massive tax rate cut for U.S. businesses is expected to lead to a further fall in the unemployment rate, driven by the assumption of more job creation.
Additionally, the Fed’s concern related to low inflation will likely diminish as new jobs along with higher wage rate growth is anticipated to lead to a rise in inflation rate to nearly 2%. Given these two favorable factors, there is a chance that the Fed may move the interest rate higher at a faster pace as economic growth improves further.
Therefore banks, one of the biggest beneficiaries of the rise in interest rates, are projected to steadily gain going forward. A steeper yield curve helps them increase revenues. Also, rising rates reflect an improving economy. As the banking industry is largely dependent on the nation’s economy, this further supports profitability.
Bank Stocks Worth Investing Right Now
While it’s not easy to select such stocks from the vast banking sector universe, we have taken the help of Zacks Stock Screener to make this task relatively simpler.
We have shortlisted five banking stocks with a market capitalization of at least $1 billion and an expected long-term earnings growth of 10% or more. Further, these stocks carry a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Headquartered in Cincinnati, OH, First Financial Bancorp. (NASDAQ:FFBC) has a Zacks Rank #2 and market cap of $1.71 billion. The company’s earnings are expected to grow at the rate of 10% over the long term.
Lakeland Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:LKFN) , based in Warsaw, IN, carries a Zacks Rank #2 and has market cap of $1.24 billion. Over the long-term, the company’s earnings are projected to increase at the rate of 10%.
With market cap of $1.11 billion, First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) has a Zacks Rank #2. This Southern Pines, NC-based company’s earnings are expected to grow at the rate of 12.5% over the long term.
1st Source Corporation (NASDAQ:SRCE) , headquartered in South Bend, IN, has a Zacks Rank #2 and market cap of $1.32 billion. The company’s earnings are expected to grow at the rate of 10% over the long term.
Washington Federal, Inc. (NASDAQ:WAFD) , based in Seattle, WA, carries a Zacks Rank #2 and has market cap of $2.98 billion. The company’s earnings are expected to grow at the rate of 10% over the long term.
Zacks Editor-in-Chief Goes "All In" on This Stock
Full disclosure, Kevin Matras now has more of his own money in one particular stock than in any other. He believes in its short-term profit potential and also in its prospects to more than double by 2019. Today he reveals and explains his surprising move in a new Special Report.
Download it free >>
First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC): Free Stock Analysis Report
1st Source Corporation (SRCE): Free Stock Analysis Report
Lakeland Financial Corporation (LKFN): Free Stock Analysis Report
Washington Federal, Inc. (WAFD): Free Stock Analysis Report
First Bancorp (FBNC): Free Stock Analysis Report
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