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Over the last five trading days, volatility in the stock market affected the banking stocks as well. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony dominated, wherein he presented an optimistic picture of the U.S. economy. This view hints at a rise in inflation, which will give the Fed all the more reason to take a hawkish stance in raising interest rates.
Additionally, growth in economy, low unemployment rate and strong consumer sentiment will drive the demand for loans and other related products of banks. These will support banks’ financials though the markets seem to be wary of such a scenario. Hence, this led to significant volatility and bank stocks’ performance turned bearish over the last five trading sessions.
Driven by the Fed’s upbeat view on the economy, mortgage rates were also on an upswing with 30-year mortgages averaging 4.43% (highest in more than four years). However, homeowners seeking lower rates for refinancing are definitely big-time losers. Rise in mortgage rates will limit refinancing activity.
Coming to company-specific news related to banks, business misconducts continued to dominate headlines. On the other hand, banks seem to be optimistic about gains from improving economy.
Further, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC)-insured commercial banks and savings institutions reported fourth-quarter 2017 earnings of $42.2 billion, down 2.3% year over year. Results were adversely impacted by elevated income taxes, higher non-interest expenses and loan loss provisions.
Company | Last Week | 6 months |
JPM | -3.3% | 25.1% |
BAC | -1.3% | 31.7% |
WFC | -3.1% | 13.9% |
C | -4.4% | 8.3% |
COF | -2.3% | 21.6% |
USB | -4.2% | 4.0% |
PNC | -2.6% | 24.5% |
In the last five trading sessions, Citigroup and U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) were the major losers, with their shares declining 4.4% and 4.2%, respectively. Further, JPMorgan fell 3.3%.
Bank of America (NYSE:C) and JPMorgan were the best performers over the last six months, with their stock prices appreciating 31.7% and 25.1%, respectively. Also, shares of PNC Financial (NYSE:PNC) rallied 24.5%.
What’s Next?
Over the next five trading days, banking stocks are expected to continue performing in a similar manner. Also, release of ADP National Employment Report on Mar 7 will likely set the direction of banks’ price performance.
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