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Forex - USD/CHF weekly outlook: July 14 - 18

Published 07/13/2014, 06:30 AM
Dollar ends week lower against Swiss franc
USD/CHF
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Investing.com - The U.S. dollar ended the week lower against the traditional safe haven Swiss franc as the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance on rates and fresh fears over the risk of contagion in Europe’s banking sector weighed.

USD/CHF was at 0.8922 late Friday, ending the week with losses of 0.31%.

The pair is likely to find support at the 0.8900 level and resistance at 0.8960.

The dollar fell to one week lows against the Swiss franc on Thursday, before recovering, as concerns over the fiscal stability of Portugal’s largest lender Banco Espirito Santo fuelled a sharp selloff in markets, amid fears over the risk of contagion.

Concerns eased after Portugal’s central bank said Friday it was satisfied that the bank is able to fulfill its capital requirements.

The dollar remained under pressure after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting indicated that interest rates are unlikely to rise soon.

Wednesday’s minutes of the central bank’s June meeting showed that officials agreed to end the bank’s asset purchase program in October, but revealed little new information on when rates could start to increase.

Officials said policy depends most “on the evolution of the economic outlook.”

In the week ahead, investors will be watching testimony on monetary policy by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. Switzerland is to release data on economic expectations and producer prices.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets. The guide skips Monday as there are no relevant events on this day.

Tuesday, July 15

Switzerland is to release data on producer price inflation.

The U.S. is to release data on retail sales, the government measure of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity. The U.S. is also to release data on import prices, business inventories and manufacturing activity in the Empire state.

Wednesday, July 16

The ZEW Institute is to publish a report on economic expectations in Switzerland, a leading indicator of economic health.

The U.S. is to release reports on producer price inflation and industrial production. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Janet Yellen Carney is to testify on monetary policy to the House financial committee.

Thursday, July 17

The U.S. to publish reports on initial jobless claims, housing starts, building permits, and the Philly Fed manufacturing index.

Friday, July 18

The U.S. is to round up the week with preliminary data from the University of Michigan on consumer sentiment.

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