50% Off! Beat the market in 2025 with InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Argentina's black market currency traders brace for uncertainty

Published 11/20/2023, 02:13 PM
Updated 11/20/2023, 02:17 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A black market money exchanger known as "Arbolito" works in downtown Buenos Aires, Argentina, July 4, 2022. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian/File Photo
USD/ARS
-

By Alexander Villegas

BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) - In downtown Buenos Aires a small group of black market money traders, known as "arbolitos" - or little trees - shouted for business on Monday, a day after a libertarian outsider pledging to dollarize the economy won the race to be president.

The long-running but illegal trade in dollars is in the spotlight amid the rise of far-right Javier Milei, in a country where most people have little faith in the embattled local peso amid triple-digit inflation and rapid depreciation.

Strict capital controls on official currency trading limits formal access to dollars and has spawned a wide array of parallel rates where dollars trade at a huge premium, over 900 pesos per greenback versus 350 at the official rate.

On Monday, the streets were quieter than normal due to a local bank holiday and as people recovered from the election shock, but some "little trees" were selling dollars at between 920-950 pesos per dollar, similar to last Friday's level.

Marcelo, a vendor who asked only to be identified by his first name, said his associates were selling dollars at 920, down from a price of 950 they charged on Friday, citing signs of the peso gaining value in crypto markets, the only ones trading.

He expected more strengthening on Tuesday and thinks the peso will reach 870 or 860 per dollar, an optimistic call with most analysts expecting Milei's win to pressure the currency.

Nicolas, a younger vendor a few blocks away, estimates the peso would remain steady until Milei takes power in December.

Many though said they had no idea what tomorrow would bring as the markets reopened, with the peso having slid fast this year in all markets and a devaluation expected in the weeks ahead after a sharp readjustment already in August.

For some, the uncertainty came hand-in-hand with hope that Milei's ambitions, including dollarizing Argentina's economy and closing the central bank, would bring more financial stability to a country that's seen poverty top 40% this year.

"I want to have dollars," said 24-year-old Milka Car, a university student who also works as a money changer in Buenos Aires. "We depend on handouts from tourists, like if we were in a zoo. There are a lot of young people that don't have any opportunities."

Even if dollarization would take away her money trading work, Car hopes it would bring better salaries and opportunities elsewhere. Aside from studying and selling dollars, she works in a jewelry story, teaches math, and does graphic and web design.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A black market money exchanger known as

She added that she had voted for Milei and celebrated his victory last night over hopes about the economy, even though she is worried about his plans to slash public education.

"It's hard, almost impossible for an Argentine to build themselves up and get somewhere," she said.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.