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Palladium Down Phase Continues

Published 05/08/2015, 07:45 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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Palladium remains in cause within broader mark down phase.

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Trend

Negative trend oscillators define a down impulse and sideways chop from 75.45 to 75.21 since the third week of January (chart 1). The bears control the trend until this impulse is reversed.

A sustained close above 80.52 jumps the creek and extends the rally. A close below 65.04 confirms continuation of mark down.
Palladium With Trend Oscillators

Leverage

The flow of leverage defines a bear phase or positive flow of leverage since April 2013 (chart 2). A DI2 close below its February 2014 low reverses the phase (green arrow). A DI2 close below its August 2012 high confirms continuation (red arrow).
Palladium With Diffusion Indices

Positive leverage oscillators define an up impulse that supports the bear phase and trend (chart 3). The first week of April's oversold (OS) marked a trading low. OS are marked by dark green dotted lines. Further declines are unlikely until OS cycles or 'unwinds' to overbought (OB). OB are marked by dark red dotted lines.

The bulls, in other words, temporarily have the upper hand while the bears control the trend (see trend). This dynamic, the ebb and flow within trends, exists in all markets. Experienced traders learn to recognize it.
Palladium With Leverage Oscillators

Time/Cycle

The 5-year seasonal cycle defines an slight upward drift until the first week of June (chart 4). After that, the seasonal cycle defines a general downtrend until the winter transition. Time, the driver of price and leverage, advises short-term caution for the bears.
Platinum And Palladium: %-Year Seasonal

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